Evian Thonon Gaillard vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 3
ETG
50%
26%
25%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
ETG
1 - 3
REN
38%
26%
36%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
LOR
0 - 1
ETG
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ETG
0 - 3
LIL
24%
26%
50%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
AUX
0 - 2
ETG
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
TFC
3 - 0
LYO
18%
25%
57%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 0
TFC
43%
28%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LIL
2 - 1
TFC
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
TFC
1 - 0
AUX
43%
29%
29%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
REN
0 - 1
TFC
55%
25%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |