Evian Thonon Gaillard vs Nice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
GAZ
1 - 0
ETG
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
ETG
4 - 1
CAS
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 1
ETG
21%
25%
54%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
ETG
1 - 0
SAI
76%
17%
8%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
GAP
1 - 0
ETG
21%
26%
53%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
NIC
1 - 1
SAE
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
LEP
0 - 1
NIC
39%
26%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
NIC
0 - 1
ARL
33%
27%
41%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2007 |
AGD
0 - 0
NIC
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2007 |
NIC
3 - 0
CAB
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +2 |