Non League Div One Southern SW. Jor. 26

Evesham United vs Thatcham Town analysis

Evesham United Thatcham Town
25 ELO 19
1.1% Tilt -11.3%
8031º General ELO ranking 9626º
402º Country ELO ranking 531º
ELO win probability
60.9%
Evesham United
20.5%
Draw
18.6%
Thatcham Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
Evesham United
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.6%
Win probability
Thatcham Town
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Evesham United
-6%
+13%
Thatcham Town

ELO progression

Evesham United
Thatcham Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Evesham United
Evesham United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Dec. 2013
EVE
Evesham United
2 - 6
Wimborne Town
WIM
43%
25%
32%
26 29 3 0
26 Dec. 2013
STR
Stratford Town
0 - 1
Evesham United
EVE
49%
23%
28%
26 24 2 0
21 Dec. 2013
EVE
Evesham United
2 - 3
Cirencester Town
CIR
21%
24%
55%
26 39 13 0
14 Dec. 2013
GUI
Guildford City
2 - 2
Evesham United
EVE
29%
24%
48%
27 17 10 -1
07 Dec. 2013
GOD
Godalming Town
2 - 3
Evesham United
EVE
59%
22%
19%
26 30 4 +1

Matches

Thatcham Town
Thatcham Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jan. 2014
THA
Thatcham Town
2 - 0
Didcot Town
DID
20%
22%
58%
18 26 8 0
28 Dec. 2013
THA
Thatcham Town
1 - 2
Clevedon Town
CLE
24%
23%
52%
19 25 6 -1
21 Dec. 2013
THA
Thatcham Town
3 - 1
Guildford City
GUI
44%
23%
33%
18 18 0 +1
14 Dec. 2013
MER
Merthyr Town
4 - 0
Thatcham Town
THA
80%
13%
7%
19 42 23 -1
07 Dec. 2013
SWI
Swindon Supermarine
5 - 0
Thatcham Town
THA
78%
14%
8%
19 33 14 0
X