Evesham United vs Stourbridge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
55.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 0
EVE
66%
21%
14%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
EVE
1 - 2
CAM
24%
28%
48%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2011 |
CAM
2 - 0
EVE
64%
21%
15%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
EVE
3 - 1
TIV
58%
25%
18%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
EVE
0 - 0
SAL
14%
24%
62%
|
39 | 59 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Stourbridge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
STO
2 - 2
WHI
34%
24%
42%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
STO
1 - 2
HED
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
STO
2 - 1
CIR
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
SWI
2 - 1
STO
29%
25%
46%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
STO
0 - 0
SAL
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |