Evesham United vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Evesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
EVE
2 - 1
CIR
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
HEM
1 - 0
EVE
27%
27%
46%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
EVE
2 - 2
BAS
47%
26%
27%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 3
EVE
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
EVE
4 - 1
HED
16%
24%
60%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +5 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 0
TIV
68%
19%
14%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
STO
6 - 1
BAS
58%
21%
20%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
EVE
2 - 2
BAS
47%
26%
27%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BAS
0 - 3
BRA
33%
24%
42%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 0
BAS
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |