CAF Champions . Last 16
Global 3-2
Etoile Sahel vs APR FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
3.6%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Sahel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAB
1 - 0
ETO
44%
29%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
ETO
1 - 0
EGS
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
APR
0 - 0
ETO
13%
19%
68%
|
71 | 42 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CLU
0 - 0
ETO
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ETO
0 - 1
ASD
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
APR FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
ETI
1 - 3
APR
46%
26%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
APR
0 - 0
ETO
13%
19%
68%
|
42 | 71 | 29 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
POL
0 - 0
APR
56%
23%
22%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
APR
7 - 1
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
APR
2 - 0
ASK
56%
23%
22%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |