ES Métlaoui vs CS Sfaxien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.4%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
29.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
8º
11º
10º
0
12º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
11º
|
1 | 26 |
1º
|
25% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 25 |
2º
|
14% | |
|
6º
|
1 | 23 |
3º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 23 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 22 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 22 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 22 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 22 |
8º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 20 |
9º
|
5.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 20 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 19 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 19 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 15 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 15 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 14 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 13 |
16º
|
19% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
11% | 2.5% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
5% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
76.5% | 78% |
|
Relegation
|
7.5% | 17.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Métlaoui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
ETO
0 - 0
CAB
45%
29%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2025 |
ETO
1 - 0
ETO
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
CLU
2 - 1
ETO
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
ETO
3 - 1
TAT
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
USM
1 - 1
ETO
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CS Sfaxien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
CSS
1 - 2
ZAR
33%
31%
36%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
CSS
2 - 0
OCK
62%
25%
14%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2025 |
ETO
0 - 1
CSS
55%
26%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
CSS
1 - 0
CAB
36%
33%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
ESP
1 - 0
CSS
61%
24%
16%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |