Etoile Carouge vs Locarno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
47.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
STG
2 - 1
ETO
84%
12%
4%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ETO
0 - 1
STA
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ETO
2 - 0
DEL
42%
24%
34%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
LUG
2 - 0
ETO
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
ETO
0 - 4
FCV
19%
21%
60%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Locarno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
LOC
2 - 0
WOH
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
LOC
2 - 0
BIE
31%
24%
45%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 0
LOC
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
FCA
4 - 1
LOC
55%
23%
23%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LOC
1 - 1
WIN
36%
25%
39%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |