Etoile Carouge vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
54.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 0
ETO
32%
24%
45%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
WIL
2 - 0
ETO
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ETO
0 - 2
WIN
29%
24%
48%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LOC
3 - 0
ETO
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
ETO
3 - 2
BIE
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
RHN
0 - 8
FCA
9%
16%
75%
|
59 | 10 | 49 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
FCA
2 - 0
WOH
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
DEL
2 - 2
FCA
33%
25%
42%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
FCA
1 - 2
CHI
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
FCA
2 - 1
FCV
36%
26%
39%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |