Etoile Carouge vs AC Bellinzona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
56%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
STA
1 - 1
ETO
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
BAD
0 - 0
ETO
35%
25%
41%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2011 |
ETO
1 - 0
BAD
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
ETO
1 - 5
MEY
50%
24%
27%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
YOU
1 - 5
ETO
36%
24%
40%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 2
DEL
76%
15%
8%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2011 |
SER
3 - 1
BEL
50%
22%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 0
SER
45%
24%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
BEL
2 - 0
GCZ
22%
25%
53%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
THU
3 - 1
BEL
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |