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26 NOV 2016 09:30

Full-time

Ethiopia Bunna vs Fasil Kenema analysis


54	ELO	56
-2.9%	Tilt	-11.4%
4479º	General ELO ranking	4592º
3º	Country ELO ranking	5º
ELO win probability

46.8%

Ethiopia Bunna

24.7%

Draw

28.4%

Fasil Kenema

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

46.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%

24.7%

Draw

0-0

6.1%

1-1

11.7%

2-2

5.6%

3-3

1.2%

4-4

0.1%

5-5

<0%

24.7%

28.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+53%

-14%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ethiopia Bunna

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.
19 Nov. 2016	MAK 2 - 2 ETB 46% 27% 27%	55	55
12 Nov. 2016	ETB 0 - 3 DED 45% 26% 30%	55	55
26 Jun. 2016	ETB 1 - 0 WED 52% 25% 23%	55	55
24 Jun. 2016	HOK 1 - 2 ETB 51% 25% 24%	55	55
16 Jun. 2016	ETB 3 - 1 DIR 49% 25% 26%	55	55

Matches

Fasil Kenema

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
12 Nov. 2016	SIB 1 - 0 KET 37% 27% 36%	55	55	0	0