Etar II vs Pavlikeni analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
69%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+46%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
16º
14º
52
5º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
93.5% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
4º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
43% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
69% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
70.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
56% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
13º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
87% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etar II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BTL
2 - 0
ETR
68%
17%
15%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ETR
0 - 2
JUV
24%
20%
56%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 1
ETR
83%
11%
6%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ETR
0 - 2
VIH
10%
15%
74%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
SEV
4 - 0
ETR
89%
8%
3%
|
21 | 47 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Pavlikeni
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PAV
2 - 2
LOK
14%
20%
67%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LOD
1 - 2
PAV
12%
19%
70%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PAV
4 - 1
OFK
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ABV
4 - 0
PAV
21%
21%
59%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
PAV
2 - 1
ASV
43%
24%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |