Etar II vs Kom Berkovitsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
40.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
4º
7º
7º
5
4º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
9 | 25 |
1º
|
39% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 23 |
2º
|
28.5% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 23 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 18 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
|
4º
|
5 | 18 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 17 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
4 | 15 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 14 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 12 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
5 | 10 |
10º
|
25.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 10 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Etar II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2025 |
LOK
2 - 1
ETR
63%
19%
18%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
ETR
2 - 0
JUV
51%
21%
28%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
OFK
2 - 1
ETR
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
ETR
2 - 0
BDI
22%
21%
58%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +5 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
LOD
2 - 0
ETR
34%
24%
42%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Kom Berkovitsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2025 |
KOM
3 - 0
LOV
24%
25%
51%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
PAR
1 - 1
KOM
22%
21%
57%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
LOK
0 - 4
KOM
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +3 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
KOM
1 - 2
ASV
21%
24%
55%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
SEV
2 - 1
KOM
74%
16%
10%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |