Torneo Regional Federal Amateur . Last 16
Global 3-2
Estudiantes Río Cuarto vs Sportivo Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes Río Cuarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 1
EST
31%
26%
44%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
EST
1 - 1
AME
64%
22%
14%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SMA
1 - 1
EST
32%
26%
43%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
EST
4 - 1
NEW
68%
18%
14%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
HHE
1 - 0
EST
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 1
EST
31%
26%
44%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SPE
1 - 0
JUV
34%
24%
42%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +3 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
DES
1 - 0
SPE
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SPE
3 - 2
LCY
43%
23%
34%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +3 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
TRI
2 - 0
SPE
36%
25%
39%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -1 |