Estudiantes de Mérida vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
41.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 2
EST
50%
27%
24%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
POR
0 - 0
EST
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
ZAM
20%
27%
53%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
CFC
0 - 1
EST
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
MIR
1 - 0
EST
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
LAR
0 - 1
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
POL
0 - 0
LAR
15%
19%
65%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
LAR
1 - 1
DEP
59%
23%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
ZAM
1 - 1
LAR
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
LAR
0 - 1
MIN
34%
26%
40%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -2 |