La Estrella vs San Juan Bosco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
La Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
VIS
4 - 1
YEY
49%
24%
27%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
YEY
1 - 0
MSQ
41%
25%
34%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
ATL
0 - 0
YEY
39%
25%
37%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
YEY
2 - 1
PUE
41%
26%
34%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
JDB
6 - 0
YEY
32%
24%
44%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
San Juan Bosco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 1
LEB
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
EST
2 - 4
SAN
59%
21%
20%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 1
PIL
35%
25%
39%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
CAB
2 - 0
SAN
68%
19%
14%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
SAN
0 - 2
CAN
66%
19%
15%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |