Estrella San Agustín vs Rud La Carlota analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella San Agustín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
EST
3 - 0
LAV
65%
19%
16%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ROC
4 - 2
EST
62%
20%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
EST
2 - 1
OSU
61%
20%
19%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ESP
0 - 0
EST
50%
23%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
0 - 3
EST
56%
20%
23%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Rud La Carlota
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
RUD
0 - 0
ANT
41%
28%
31%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LAV
1 - 1
RUD
48%
24%
29%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
RUD
1 - 0
PAL
56%
24%
20%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ROC
1 - 0
RUD
75%
16%
9%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CIU
0 - 1
RUD
46%
23%
31%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |