Estrella vs Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
GUI
4 - 0
EST
56%
22%
22%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
EST
1 - 0
COT
37%
25%
38%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
HCF
0 - 1
EST
29%
23%
48%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
EST
2 - 2
PAN
31%
26%
43%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
UDS
3 - 0
EST
75%
16%
9%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 2
COT
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
HCF
0 - 3
MAR
21%
23%
56%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 1
PAN
45%
24%
31%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
UDS
2 - 1
MAR
73%
17%
10%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 2
LLA
68%
19%
13%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |