Estrela Vendas Novas vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
44.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrela Vendas Novas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
IDE
0 - 1
EVN
65%
18%
17%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
EVN
1 - 3
OLH
14%
22%
64%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 0
EVN
80%
14%
7%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
EVN
0 - 5
PIN
22%
25%
53%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -3 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
MON
3 - 3
EVN
31%
21%
48%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
LUS
0 - 4
CAS
20%
26%
54%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
LUS
3 - 0
PIN
17%
24%
59%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +4 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
MON
1 - 0
LUS
37%
22%
41%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 0
MOU
34%
25%
41%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
OPE
0 - 0
LUS
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |