CF Estrela Amadora vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
BOA
1 - 2
EST
75%
17%
9%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
EST
0 - 1
GFC
48%
27%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
RIO
0 - 1
EST
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
EST
2 - 0
CAM
86%
11%
3%
|
71 | 18 | 53 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
FAR
1 - 1
EST
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1999 |
ALV
1 - 2
BOA
25%
23%
52%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1999 |
ALV
0 - 1
FAR
52%
24%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
VST
1 - 0
ALV
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
ALV
0 - 1
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
SAL
0 - 2
ALV
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |