Estoril U23 vs Sporting CP U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
3º
1º
29
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 19 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 18 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estoril U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
EST
3 - 1
TOR
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
GIL
1 - 5
EST
26%
23%
51%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
EST
3 - 0
FAM
55%
24%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
EST
1 - 0
BES
71%
17%
12%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
EST
0 - 2
EST
27%
24%
49%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting CP U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
SPO
3 - 1
GIL
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
BES
1 - 1
SPO
28%
25%
48%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
SPO
0 - 0
EST
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
FAM
1 - 3
SPO
47%
26%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 1
VIZ
58%
21%
21%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |