European U21 Championship qualifying Group I Round 1

Estonia U21 vs Lithuania U21 analysis

Estonia U21 Lithuania U21
44 ELO 56
0.8% Tilt 7%
7707º General ELO ranking 7148º
48º Country ELO ranking 32º
ELO win probability
37.7%
Estonia U21
24.2%
Draw
38.1%
Lithuania U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
Estonia U21
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
38.1%
Win probability
Lithuania U21
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Estonia U21
+18%
-19%
Lithuania U21

ELO progression

Estonia U21
Lithuania U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Estonia U21
Estonia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jun. 1999
EST
Estonia U21
0 - 3
Czech Republic U21
CZE
13%
20%
67%
45 70 25 0
30 Mar. 1999
LTU
Lithuania U21
4 - 1
Estonia U21
EST
67%
18%
15%
46 56 10 -1
13 Oct. 1998
CZE
Czech Republic U21
3 - 0
Estonia U21
EST
81%
14%
6%
47 69 22 -1
09 Oct. 1998
SCO
Scotland U21
2 - 0
Estonia U21
EST
72%
16%
12%
47 63 16 0
04 Sep. 1998
BIH
Bosnia and Herzegovina U21
3 - 2
Estonia U21
EST
66%
18%
15%
47 56 9 0

Matches

Lithuania U21
Lithuania U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jun. 1999
BIH
Bosnia and Herzegovina U21
2 - 1
Lithuania U21
LTU
51%
23%
27%
57 55 2 0
30 Mar. 1999
LTU
Lithuania U21
4 - 1
Estonia U21
EST
67%
18%
15%
56 46 10 +1
26 Mar. 1999
CZE
Czech Republic U21
1 - 0
Lithuania U21
LTU
72%
18%
11%
57 69 12 -1
13 Oct. 1998
LTU
Lithuania U21
4 - 0
Bosnia and Herzegovina U21
BIH
50%
23%
27%
56 57 1 +1
07 Oct. 1998
LTU
Lithuania U21
0 - 1
Belgium U21
BEL
32%
26%
42%
56 66 10 0