Estepa Ind. vs UD Marinaleda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estepa Ind.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 2
EST
39%
25%
37%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
EST
4 - 0
VIS
61%
21%
18%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
MSQ
1 - 1
EST
27%
24%
49%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
EST
3 - 0
ATL
83%
12%
6%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
PUE
1 - 0
EST
21%
24%
55%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
UD Marinaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 4
PIL
35%
26%
40%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
CAB
0 - 0
MAR
63%
20%
17%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAN
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ADC
1 - 1
MAR
55%
23%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 0
SUE
49%
23%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |