Estepa Ind. vs AD. Carmona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estepa Ind.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
PUE
1 - 1
EST
27%
25%
48%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
EST
0 - 1
PEN
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
JDB
1 - 0
EST
56%
23%
20%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
EST
0 - 4
SMA
45%
25%
30%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
EST
0 - 2
ADC
62%
22%
16%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AD. Carmona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
ADC
4 - 2
ATL
53%
23%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
SAN
2 - 1
ADC
19%
25%
56%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
ADC
3 - 0
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2007 |
SAN
3 - 1
ADC
48%
25%
27%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
EST
0 - 2
ADC
62%
22%
16%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |