Estella Cd vs San Bernardo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estella Cd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FLO
4 - 7
EST
25%
21%
53%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
EST
3 - 2
UDT
52%
23%
25%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SJO
1 - 2
EST
65%
18%
17%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
EST
2 - 4
CHI
62%
21%
17%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
TRE
1 - 0
EST
51%
23%
26%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
San Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CDS
1 - 3
NCH
33%
22%
45%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 0
CDS
62%
19%
18%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CDS
1 - 4
CDJ
24%
21%
55%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 0
CDS
70%
16%
14%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CDS
1 - 6
XER
11%
16%
74%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | -1 |