Esteghlal Tehran vs Pars Jonubi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esteghlal Tehran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
SAI
0 - 4
EST
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
EST
3 - 0
MOG
82%
13%
5%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
EST
2 - 1
GOH
68%
21%
11%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2019 |
OXI
1 - 3
EST
20%
24%
57%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2019 |
ZOB
2 - 2
EST
40%
28%
33%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pars Jonubi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
PAR
0 - 0
SAN
33%
28%
38%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2019 |
TRA
1 - 0
PAR
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2019 |
PAR
1 - 2
ZOB
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
PAR
2 - 2
NAS
42%
28%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
PAR
3 - 2
SAI
27%
28%
46%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |