Esteghlal Ahvaz vs Fajr Sepasi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
36.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esteghlal Ahvaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2003 |
EST
1 - 1
NAT
38%
25%
36%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2003 |
PER
2 - 1
EST
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
EST
2 - 1
ZOB
30%
28%
42%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2003 |
SAI
0 - 0
EST
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2003 |
EST
0 - 1
PAY
29%
29%
42%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Fajr Sepasi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2003 |
FAJ
0 - 0
PER
40%
29%
32%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2003 |
ZOB
0 - 1
FAJ
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
FAJ
1 - 1
SAI
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2003 |
PAY
1 - 0
FAJ
57%
25%
19%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2003 |
FAJ
0 - 0
BAR
49%
26%
24%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |