Espinho vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
66.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
VIT
5 - 0
ESP
68%
20%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1942 |
VIT
4 - 1
ESP
73%
15%
13%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 1942 |
ESP
4 - 2
CAR
61%
19%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1974 |
VST
1 - 1
ZAR
79%
15%
7%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
VST
3 - 2
BOA
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1974 |
VST
2 - 2
SLB
46%
25%
29%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
VIT
1 - 4
VST
27%
29%
43%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
VST
0 - 0
FCP
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |