Espinho vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
UFT
3 - 1
ESP
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
ESP
2 - 3
ATL
60%
21%
19%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
VST
0 - 0
ESP
86%
10%
4%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
ESP
2 - 3
VIT
33%
28%
40%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1974 |
ESP
0 - 2
FCP
16%
27%
57%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1975 |
FAR
1 - 0
BOA
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1975 |
LEX
3 - 0
FAR
52%
28%
20%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
SLB
4 - 0
FAR
86%
10%
4%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
FAR
5 - 2
UFT
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1974 |
FAR
4 - 1
ATL
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |