Espinho vs Cinfães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
AMA
2 - 0
ESP
24%
25%
51%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 3
OLI
81%
14%
5%
|
63 | 31 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
BOA
1 - 2
ESP
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ESP
3 - 2
MAD
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 28 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
OPE
1 - 0
ESP
19%
24%
57%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Cinfães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CIN
0 - 0
COI
49%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
GON
2 - 3
CIN
68%
21%
11%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | +2 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CIN
1 - 0
ALI
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
TON
2 - 0
CIN
77%
16%
7%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CIN
3 - 1
SAO
57%
22%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |