Espinho vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 0
GON
55%
24%
21%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 0
MER
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 0
ESP
36%
27%
37%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
ESP
19%
21%
60%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 2
LEC
54%
24%
22%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ORI
1 - 1
CAL
65%
21%
14%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 0
AMO
26%
26%
48%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
REA
1 - 0
CAL
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ABR
2 - 4
CAL
13%
18%
69%
|
36 | 9 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 1
OLI
43%
25%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |