Espinho U19 vs União Nogueirense U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
50%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-90%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
6º
2º
24
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
26 | 27 |
1º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
25 | 26 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
24 | 25 |
3º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 24 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espinho U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 2
ESP
42%
22%
37%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SOU
2 - 2
ESP
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ESP
3 - 2
LEX
20%
20%
60%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
LAM
0 - 1
ESP
10%
15%
75%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ESP
0 - 1
PAD
48%
22%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
União Nogueirense U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2023 |
NOG
1 - 2
SOU
60%
19%
21%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
LEX
2 - 0
NOG
35%
22%
42%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
NOG
6 - 0
LAM
88%
9%
3%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
PAD
2 - 2
NOG
21%
20%
59%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
NOG
3 - 2
VAL
59%
20%
21%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |