Espigão vs Gênus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
32.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espigão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
PIM
2 - 1
ESP
28%
24%
48%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 0
ESP
63%
20%
17%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
ESP
5 - 3
ARI
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
SHA
3 - 3
ESP
27%
23%
50%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 1
JAR
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Gênus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
SHA
1 - 2
GEN
35%
22%
43%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
ARI
2 - 3
GEN
40%
24%
37%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
GEN
1 - 2
VIL
46%
24%
31%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
PIM
0 - 6
GEN
32%
23%
45%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
GEN
2 - 2
ROL
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |