Esperanza vs Racing Cartagena Mar Menor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
64.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperanza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PUL
4 - 1
ESP
62%
21%
17%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 2
UCA
19%
22%
60%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
IMP
2 - 0
ESP
72%
18%
10%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 0
CAR
51%
24%
24%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ESP
0 - 1
BAL
31%
24%
45%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
5 - 1
SAN
82%
12%
6%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
MSM
1 - 5
MAR
20%
23%
58%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
4 - 1
ABA
84%
11%
4%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 0
LOR
41%
25%
35%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
PUL
0 - 1
MAR
27%
26%
48%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |