Esperanza Pelt vs Lyra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Esperanza Pelt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
HAD
0 - 5
ESP
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ESP
2 - 1
WEL
58%
21%
20%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
NIL
1 - 1
ESP
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
ESP
2 - 2
LIL
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 2
ESP
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lyra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
LYR
1 - 2
OLY
24%
23%
52%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LEO
5 - 1
LYR
68%
19%
14%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
LYR
1 - 3
BIL
42%
23%
35%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
ZWA
5 - 1
LYR
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
LYR
1 - 4
TUR
70%
18%
13%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |