CAF Champions . Semi-finals
Global 1-0
ES Tunis vs TP Mazembe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
USM
0 - 1
ESP
32%
28%
40%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
ESP
1 - 0
CSH
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
ESP
3 - 1
CON
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
GAB
0 - 1
ESP
18%
27%
56%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
CON
2 - 3
ESP
37%
28%
35%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
VCL
0 - 0
TPM
45%
27%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
TPM
4 - 0
NDB
81%
13%
5%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
TPM
4 - 1
SIM
71%
18%
12%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
SIM
0 - 0
TPM
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
TPM
0 - 1
SAI
75%
17%
9%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |