CAF Champions Semi-finals
Global 2-0
ES Tunis vs Mamelodi Sundowns analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
35%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
USM
1 - 1
ESP
45%
29%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ASE
0 - 0
ESP
27%
27%
46%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ESP
0 - 0
ASE
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 0
CLU
49%
28%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 1
ESP
40%
28%
31%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
SWA
2 - 2
SUN
35%
29%
37%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
PRE
1 - 1
SUN
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
AJA
0 - 1
SUN
26%
28%
46%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
SUN
0 - 0
YOU
70%
19%
12%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
SUN
1 - 0
RIB
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |