Europa League Semi-finals

Global 5-1

Espanyol vs Werder Bremen analysis

Espanyol Werder Bremen
89 ELO 90
8.6% Tilt -15.2%
89º General ELO ranking 68º
18º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
39.8%
Espanyol
24.6%
Draw
35.6%
Werder Bremen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.8%
Win probability
Espanyol
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.6%
Win probability
Werder Bremen
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

Espanyol
Werder Bremen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Espanyol
Espanyol
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Apr. 2007
ESP
Espanyol
2 - 2
Real Betis
BET
59%
23%
18%
88 87 1 0
15 Apr. 2007
ATH
Athletic
2 - 1
Espanyol
ESP
44%
28%
29%
89 86 3 -1
12 Apr. 2007
SLB
Benfica
0 - 0
Espanyol
ESP
46%
28%
27%
89 87 2 0
08 Apr. 2007
ESP
Espanyol
1 - 0
Real Sociedad
RSO
65%
21%
15%
88 84 4 +1
05 Apr. 2007
ESP
Espanyol
3 - 2
Benfica
SLB
55%
24%
21%
88 87 1 0

Matches

Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2007
BRE
Werder Bremen
3 - 1
Alemannia Aachen
AAA
75%
16%
9%
90 78 12 0
15 Apr. 2007
BVB
B. Dortmund
0 - 2
Werder Bremen
BRE
20%
24%
57%
90 84 6 0
12 Apr. 2007
BRE
Werder Bremen
4 - 1
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
57%
22%
21%
90 87 3 0
08 Apr. 2007
BRE
Werder Bremen
1 - 0
Nürnberg
FCN
70%
18%
12%
90 83 7 0
05 Apr. 2007
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
0 - 0
Werder Bremen
BRE
38%
24%
38%
90 87 3 0