Espanyol vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
42.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
VCF
3 - 1
ESP
71%
16%
13%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1956 |
ATM
3 - 0
ESP
77%
13%
10%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 1956 |
ATM
0 - 1
ESP
78%
12%
9%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 1956 |
ESP
1 - 2
ATM
61%
19%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1956 |
FCB
4 - 4
ESP
84%
10%
6%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
RMA
6 - 0
CDC
91%
6%
3%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1956 |
ATH
3 - 2
RMA
68%
16%
16%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1956 |
RMA
4 - 3
REI
86%
9%
5%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1956 |
RMA
2 - 2
ATH
66%
17%
17%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1956 |
VAD
2 - 4
RMA
39%
23%
38%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |