Espanyol vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
CDO
2 - 0
ESP
43%
24%
33%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
VAD
1 - 1
ESP
57%
21%
21%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
ESP
0 - 1
FCB
18%
22%
59%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
OVI
1 - 0
ESP
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
ESP
3 - 1
SEV
43%
24%
33%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
CDO
2 - 0
ESP
43%
24%
33%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
CDC
5 - 1
CDO
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
CDO
3 - 0
DEP
49%
22%
29%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
AVI
0 - 1
CDO
54%
22%
24%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
CDO
1 - 0
SDI
57%
22%
22%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |