Espanyol B vs Alicante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
GRA
1 - 0
RCD
44%
27%
28%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
RCD
0 - 0
HUE
76%
16%
9%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
FCB
2 - 0
RCD
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
RCD
1 - 3
ZAR
56%
24%
21%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
RCD
2 - 0
PEÑ
59%
21%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ALI
0 - 1
CAS
60%
24%
17%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
GIR
1 - 0
ALI
37%
26%
36%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
ALI
3 - 1
BEN
75%
17%
9%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
HER
0 - 1
ALI
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2004 |
ALI
0 - 0
GIR
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |