España U21 vs Croacia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
España U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2000 |
ESP
1 - 1
CZE
64%
21%
15%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2000 |
ESP
3 - 0
ITA
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2000 |
CRO
3 - 1
ESP
27%
24%
50%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1999 |
ESP
4 - 0
NOR
72%
17%
11%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
NOR
1 - 3
ESP
29%
25%
46%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Croacia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2000 |
CRO
1 - 2
NED
45%
25%
31%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2000 |
CRO
2 - 0
GER
38%
26%
37%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2000 |
CRO
3 - 1
ESP
27%
24%
50%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 1999 |
CRO
3 - 0
POR
34%
26%
41%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
POR
2 - 0
CRO
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |