Spain U19 vs Germany U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spain U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
EST
0 - 3
ESP
4%
13%
82%
|
73 | 34 | 39 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
CZE
1 - 5
ESP
18%
22%
60%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
ESP
0 - 2
CHE
83%
12%
5%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
BLR
0 - 4
ESP
9%
17%
74%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2008 |
ESP
5 - 0
FRO
94%
5%
1%
|
73 | 30 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Germany U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2009 |
DEU
1 - 0
CZE
74%
16%
10%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
EST
0 - 5
DEU
4%
13%
82%
|
69 | 35 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
DEU
2 - 1
NLD
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
DEU
5 - 0
LTU
90%
8%
2%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2008 |
DEU
3 - 0
LUX
91%
8%
2%
|
69 | 40 | 29 | 0 |