National 3 Pays de la Loire Round 15

ESOFV La Roche vs Sablé analysis

ESOFV La Roche Sablé
41 ELO 38
3.9% Tilt 0.3%
6638º General ELO ranking 6998º
195º Country ELO ranking 227º
ELO win probability
54.6%
ESOFV La Roche
23%
Draw
22.4%
Sablé

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
ESOFV La Roche
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.4%
Win probability
Sablé
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
ESOFV La Roche
+10%
-29%
Sablé

Points and table prediction

ESOFV La Roche
Their league position
Sablé
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
10º
14º
10º
42
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
La Roche Vendée
48
51
100%
USSA Vertou
46
49
91.5%
Challans
44
47
91.5%
Sablé
42
42
100%
Stade Lavallois II
38
41
100%
Saint-Nazaire AF
37
40
57.5%
36
39
56.5%
Fontenay
37
37
70.5%
Le Mans II
30
30
79.5%
ESOFV La Roche
10º
28
28
10º
0%
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
11º
28
28
11º
13%
Beaucouzé
12º
27
27
12º
62.5%
Pouzauges-Réaumur
13º
19
22
13º
75.5%
Change
14º
16
16
14º
75.5%
Expected probabilities
ESOFV La Roche
Sablé
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

ESOFV La Roche
Sablé
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

ESOFV La Roche
ESOFV La Roche
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2023
SNA
Saint-Nazaire AF
2 - 1
ESOFV La Roche
ESO
26%
22%
52%
41 35 6 0
21 Jan. 2023
ESO
ESOFV La Roche
3 - 4
Beaucouzé
SCB
75%
15%
11%
41 30 11 0
10 Dec. 2022
ESO
ESOFV La Roche
1 - 3
USSA Vertou
USS
61%
21%
18%
42 38 4 -1
03 Dec. 2022
SPG
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
1 - 0
ESOFV La Roche
ESO
13%
17%
70%
43 26 17 -1
19 Nov. 2022
ESO
ESOFV La Roche
2 - 0
Fontenay
FON
58%
22%
20%
42 39 3 +1

Matches

Sablé
Sablé
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2023
SAB
Sablé
3 - 1
Change
CHA
81%
13%
7%
39 24 15 0
21 Jan. 2023
LEM
Le Mans II
1 - 4
Sablé
SAB
36%
23%
41%
37 31 6 +2
17 Dec. 2022
SAB
Sablé
3 - 1
Le Poiré-sur-Vie
LPS
47%
23%
30%
35 37 2 +2
10 Dec. 2022
ACP
Pouzauges-Réaumur
0 - 3
Sablé
SAB
45%
23%
33%
33 30 3 +2
03 Dec. 2022
FON
Fontenay
0 - 2
Sablé
SAB
62%
21%
17%
31 38 7 +2