ESMTK vs Szeged II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
4.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+236%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
2º
9º
2º
25
11º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
2º
|
87% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
87% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 50 |
5º
|
85% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
46.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 32 |
12º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
61% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
98.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ESMTK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
BEK
1 - 2
ESM
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ESM
4 - 0
SZO
71%
19%
11%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ESM
3 - 0
BKV
79%
14%
7%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DAB
0 - 6
ESM
18%
21%
61%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ESM
1 - 0
FHV
7%
15%
77%
|
40 | 69 | 29 | +2 |
Matches
Szeged II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
SCG
1 - 2
BKV
15%
18%
67%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
DAB
2 - 1
SCG
80%
13%
8%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SCG
0 - 0
HON
8%
14%
78%
|
11 | 33 | 22 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MLS
2 - 1
SCG
70%
16%
14%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SCG
4 - 2
FUZ
9%
15%
77%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | +3 |