ESMTK vs Csepel SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ESMTK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SBA
1 - 0
ESM
17%
21%
62%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
RKM
2 - 2
ESM
9%
16%
75%
|
41 | 12 | 29 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
JAS
0 - 1
ESM
19%
22%
60%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ESM
2 - 0
DIO
64%
19%
17%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ESM
5 - 0
RAF
86%
10%
4%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Csepel SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
CSE
1 - 0
ERD
32%
25%
43%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
SBA
0 - 1
CSE
38%
26%
36%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
RKM
0 - 5
CSE
14%
21%
64%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CSE
1 - 2
BUD
84%
12%
4%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
CSE
3 - 0
JAS
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |