European U21 Championship qualifying Round 1

Slovenia U21 vs Lithuania U21 analysis

Slovenia U21 Lithuania U21
63 ELO 40
-2.8% Tilt -8.3%
2501º General ELO ranking 7114º
18º Country ELO ranking 32º
ELO win probability
75.6%
Slovenia U21
16.5%
Draw
7.9%
Lithuania U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
Slovenia U21
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.9%
Win probability
Lithuania U21
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Slovenia U21
+11%
-20%
Lithuania U21

ELO progression

Slovenia U21
Lithuania U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Slovenia U21
Slovenia U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jun. 2015
SVN
Slovenia U21
4 - 0
Andorra U21
AND
78%
15%
7%
63 36 27 0
03 Jun. 2015
UKR
Ukraine U21
1 - 1
Slovenia U21
SVN
64%
22%
15%
63 72 9 0
02 Jun. 2015
SVN
Slovenia U21
3 - 0
Greece U21
GRC
33%
26%
41%
61 68 7 +2
30 Mar. 2015
SVN
Slovenia U21
1 - 1
Macedonia U21
MKD
62%
22%
16%
61 51 10 0
26 Mar. 2015
SVN
Slovenia U21
0 - 2
Ukraine U21
UKR
29%
26%
46%
62 72 10 -1

Matches

Lithuania U21
Lithuania U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jun. 2015
AND
Andorra U21
1 - 0
Lithuania U21
LTU
39%
24%
37%
41 36 5 0
24 Jan. 2015
EST
Estonia U21
2 - 1
Lithuania U21
LTU
39%
26%
36%
42 36 6 -1
20 Jan. 2015
LTU
Lithuania U21
1 - 2
Tajikistan U21
TJK
56%
23%
22%
43 34 9 -1
18 Jan. 2015
KAZ
Kazakhstan U21
1 - 0
Lithuania U21
LTU
57%
22%
21%
44 48 4 -1
14 Nov. 2014
LTU
Lithuania U21
1 - 0
Belarus U21
BLR
19%
25%
56%
43 57 14 +1