Escuintla vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
38.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Escuintla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
ESC
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
ESC
2 - 0
IZT
40%
25%
35%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
SLC
0 - 1
ESC
63%
21%
17%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
NUE
2 - 1
DEP
52%
24%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 0
NUE
22%
24%
54%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
NUE
1 - 1
SPD
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
DEP
6 - 0
NUE
34%
23%
43%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
NUE
4 - 1
DEP
45%
23%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +2 |