Primera Apertura Round 9

Escuintla vs Aurora FC analysis

Escuintla Aurora FC
46 ELO 43
-12.8% Tilt -9.9%
37175º General ELO ranking 3756º
56º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
55.1%
Escuintla
24.2%
Draw
20.7%
Aurora FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
Escuintla
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.7%
Win probability
Aurora FC
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Escuintla
Aurora FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Escuintla
Escuintla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2020
ESC
Escuintla
2 - 0
Chimaltenango
CHI
42%
27%
31%
44 48 4 0
14 Nov. 2020
COM
Comunicaciones II
0 - 0
Escuintla
ESC
38%
25%
37%
45 40 5 -1
31 Oct. 2020
ESC
Escuintla
2 - 0
Deportivo Petapa
DEP
27%
23%
50%
43 47 4 +2
24 Oct. 2020
AUR
Aurora FC
1 - 2
Escuintla
ESC
48%
26%
26%
42 44 2 +1
18 Oct. 2020
CHI
Chimaltenango
0 - 0
Escuintla
ESC
58%
23%
19%
41 48 7 +1

Matches

Aurora FC
Aurora FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Nov. 2020
AUR
Aurora FC
1 - 1
Deportivo Petapa
DEP
31%
24%
45%
43 45 2 0
07 Nov. 2020
AUR
Aurora FC
1 - 3
Comunicaciones II
COM
57%
25%
18%
45 38 7 -2
01 Nov. 2020
AUR
Aurora FC
1 - 0
Chimaltenango
CHI
35%
29%
36%
43 48 5 +2
24 Oct. 2020
AUR
Aurora FC
1 - 2
Escuintla
ESC
48%
26%
26%
44 42 2 -1
09 Oct. 2020
DEP
Deportivo Petapa
0 - 1
Aurora FC
AUR
60%
22%
18%
43 46 3 +1