Scotland U19s vs Germany U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
68.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Scotland U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
SCT
2 - 0
AND
75%
16%
10%
|
52 | 20 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
BLR
2 - 2
SCT
19%
21%
60%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
SCT
0 - 4
PRT
8%
13%
80%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
SCT
4 - 0
CYP
64%
19%
17%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
TUR
1 - 3
SCT
57%
21%
22%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Germany U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
DEU
9 - 2
BLR
88%
9%
3%
|
68 | 41 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
DEU
3 - 0
AND
86%
10%
4%
|
68 | 20 | 48 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
HUN
0 - 3
DEU
9%
13%
78%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
DEU
0 - 1
NOR
69%
18%
14%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
DEU
2 - 1
HRV
61%
19%
20%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |